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Can You Spot A Real Estate Bubble?

Joe Samuel

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real estate stocks

You don’t need a great memory to flash back to the last real estate bubble. It was only 10 years ago, a breakdown in the United States housing market and several others across the globe that eventually sent the world into the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.

If you can recall or if this is a history lesson for the younger crowd, the S&P 500 lost half of its value, the unemployment rate doubled, several investment banks were forced to dissolve or merge in order to survive, and millions of Americans were foreclosed on and lost their homes. Millions of others simply abandoned them as the homes were underwater or worth less than what they owed on their mortgages.

Homebuyers and others, especially in areas with limited housing supply like Silicon Valley, San Francisco, and Los Angeles, may be nervous about the next real estate bubble as home prices are rising. Though there’s no confirmed way to spot a real estate bubble and experts won’t agree on whether one can be identified or not, there are a number of signs that homebuyers and shoppers can follow in order to determine the likelihood of a bubble. Those indicators include:

Interest rates since low rates tend to fuel bubbles.

Home price indexes, a measurement of housing prices for single-family homes in a given location. These offer the easiest way to follow the rise and fall of home prices.

Price-to-rent ratio, which is the ratio of the price of home to the annual rent that it would generate and a measure of affordability of renting versus buying. Lower ratios indicate that buying is cheaper, while higher ratios would signify that renting is the better deal. Price-to-rent ratios tend to rise during a bubble as speculative interest in homebuying lifts home prices.

Determine to what extent rising prices are being driven by speculators rather than residents as housing bubbles tends to be driven by speculators, or investors who are buying homes to turn a quick profit, rather than live in them.

But What is a real estate bubble?

A bubble is simply a sudden increase in the price of an asset class, such as housing, due to increased demand or speculation. Think about the way bitcoin exploded in 2017 and then immediately imploded during the beginning of 2018.

The term is often used when the rise in prices is divorced from the underlying value of the asset and followed by a rapid decline. The bubble is so named for its appearance on a chart as the asset price suddenly rises and then falls, creating the rounded shape of a bubble. A bubble often emerges from supply and demand dynamics becoming imbalanced. When demand for housing exceeds supply, which most often happens in cities with geographic boundaries like San Francisco, Seattle, or New York that have booming economies, prices tend to escalate.

Speculators and other investors may seize on the opportunity, buying housing in order to turn a profit rather than live in the home — a process sometimes called flipping. Eventually, the imbalance tends to correct itself and higher prices drive down demand or supply catches up with the higher level of demand through new construction. Investors don’t generally know when they’re in a bubble or how long it will last, though there are usually critics who recognize it as such.

International Monetary Fund 

According to the International Monetary Fund, real estate bubbles are less frequent than equity, or the stock market, bubbles. Real estate bubbles occur every 13 years on average but last twice as long as the 2.5 years that stock market bubbles last. Real estate bubbles also lead to double the loss in output of the 4% decline in gross domestic product, or GDP, caused by equity bubbles. GDP is defined as the total value of all the goods and services produced by a country, or a similar entity, in one year.

In today’s market, when investors refer to a real estate bubble, they are generally talking about the housing market as that was the most significant driver of the last real estate bubble as well as the financial crisis and remains the biggest concern for homebuyers today.

The impact of the housing bubble’s bursting and the subsequent financial crisis was vast. Lehman Brothers, the investment bank, went under, and several other banks, including Merrill Lynch and Wachovia, had to be acquired by other banks, in their case Bank of America and Wells Fargo, respectively, with the oversight of the federal government. All told, dozens of banks and financial institutions around the globe went bankrupt or had to be acquired. In 2008, there were more than 3.1 million home foreclosures, more than triple the number in 2006, and home prices fell about 30% from their peak in 2006 to their trough in early 2012.

Will we see another bubble burst?

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Stock Price Newsletter – November 21, 2019

Joe Samuel

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stock price newsletter

Is The Entertainment Streaming Market Ready For Its Next Move?

As many experts have pointed out, the end of 2019 is going to see the commencement of the ‘streaming wars’ as more and more companies enter the OTT market to challenge the supremacy of Netflix Inc (NASDAQ: NFLX). The launch of the streaming service Disney Plus last week formally launched the streaming wars.

Click Here To Read More


Biotech Names To Know In November 2019

Over the years, the biotech sector has become one of the fastest-growing sectors in the stock market and naturally, investors are keen to get hold of stocks that could follow a similar growth trajectory. However, just because a sector is growing does not mean that an investor can bet on any stock and hope to make decent returns.


3 Defense Stocks to Watch in November

Over the years it has become abundantly clear that defense spending is going to rise every year and hence, defense stocks have naturally emerged as some of the safest investments in the market. However, the current unstable geopolitical situation in different corners of the world could lead to even more defense spending, if a Bank of America analyst is to be believed.

See For Yourself

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Biotechnology

Biotech Names To Know In November 2019

A. Lawrence

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best biotechnology stocks to buy sell

Biotech Stocks Have rallied since The End Of September; What’s Next?

Over the years, the biotech sector has become one of the fastest-growing sectors in the stock market and naturally, investors are keen to get hold of stocks that could follow a similar growth trajectory. However, just because a sector is growing does not mean that an investor can bet on any stock and hope to make decent returns.

In order to choose the right stock, he needs to do a lot of personal research and watch the market closely. Here is a look at three biotech stocks that investors should track closely owing to recent developments.

Sernova Corp’s (TSX:SVA) (OTC:SEOVF)

Sernova’s therapeutic approach to regenerative medicine focuses on providing direct cell therapies where the cells, transplanted within an organ-like vascularized implantable device, generates proteins, hormones or factors released into the bloodstream for treatment of diseases requiring replacement of these molecules in the body.

The company’s Cell Pouch is a novel, proprietary, scalable, implantable macro-encapsulation device designed for the long- term survival and function of therapeutic cells. At the end of October Sernova Corp. (SVA) (SEOVF) detected enduring levels of C-peptide in the bloodstream of a fasting patient in its continuing phase I/II Cell Pouch United States clinical study of type-1 diabetes. This C-peptide is a biomarker of transplanted beta-cell insulin production,

Why is this important? According to Dr. Piotr Witkowski, Director of Pancreatic, and Islet Transplant Program at the University of Chicago, “Along with the preliminary safety and early indicators of efficacy, I am excited that we are observing C-peptide levels in the patient’s bloodstream after recent transplant, not only following stimulation with a meal but also when the patient is fasting. These findings represent progress in clinical outcomes and evidence of enduring islet survival and function within Sernova’s Cell Pouch.”

Read This Full Press Release Here

Genprex (GNPX)

The first one to put in the watch list is that of Genprex Inc (NASDAQ:GNPX). On Tuesday, the company revealed preclinical data from its study of its product TUSC2 immunogene therapy. The product in question is meant for raising the effectiveness of chemotherapy and anti-PD1 in people suffering from metastatic lung cancers.

The data proved to be positive and that has naturally resulted in a rally in the stock. It is a significant development for Genprex and could potentially help the company in cornering an important portion of the gene therapy market. Hence, it is hardly a surprise that the stock has rallied by as much as 60% after hitting a session’s high of $1.09.

 Can Fite Biopharma (CANF)

The other biotech stock that has made a strong move is the Can Fite Biopharma (NYSE:CANF) stock. The biotech company announced this morning that one of its products, which is meant for the treatment of liver diseases and cancer, has been granted a patent as a sexual dysfunction medicine.

The patents have been granted by the relevant authorities in Canada, Israel, and South Korea. In addition to that, the company has also been awarded patents in Japan, China, United States, Australia, and Hong Kong. It is a highly important development for Can-Fite and it was no surprise when the stock rallied this morning. It has rallied by 3% on Tuesday on the back of the news.

top biotech stocks to watch list

Disclaimer: Pursuant to an agreement between Midam Ventures LLC and Sernova (TSX:SVA) (OTC:SEOVF), Midam has been paid $350,000 for a period from September 23, 2019 to September 22, 2020. We may buy or sell additional shares of Sernova (TSX:SVA) (OTC:SEOVF) in the open market at any time, including before, during or after the Website and Information, to provide public dissemination of favorable Information about Sernova (TSX:SVA) (OTC:SEOVF). Click Here For Full Disclaimer.

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Entertainment

Is The Entertainment Streaming Market Ready For Its Next Move?

A. Lawrence

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streaming wars netflix apple hulu disney

New Streaming Options Have Opened A Big Door For Content Providers

As many experts have pointed out, the end of 2019 is going to see the commencement of the ‘streaming wars’ as more and more companies enter the OTT market to challenge the supremacy of Netflix Inc (NASDAQ:NFLX). The launch of the streaming service Disney Plus last week formally launched the streaming wars.

Do Content Providers Stand To Benefit?

According to an article published on Reuters the global video streaming market was valued at $26.27 billion in 2015 and is expected to reach $83.41 billion by 2022 growing at a CAGR of 17.9% from 2015 to 2022. Apple, Disney, Netflix, Amazon, NBC, Hulu & more are all competing within the global video streaming market and they all need the same thing… new & original content. Massive demand may create a huge opportunity for companies like Fearless Films (FERL).

Fearless Films is an independent full-service production company. This is the exact type of company that can benefit from what could become one of the biggest cash grabs in entertainment history and here’s why. You’ve likely heard of the big production houses: Warner Bros, DreamWorks, Red Crown Productions and others who benefited from big deals with streaming companies.

It isn’t just Netflix who’s flexing billions in content budgets, Apple, Amazon, Disney, NBC, Roku – the list goes on. These are huge entertainment distributors who are now fighting for one thing… Where you spend your waking hours streaming entertainment.

Click To Read More On Fearless Films (FERL)

Key Analysis On Streaming Service Providers

Considering the fact that the new service has already garnered 10 million users, it’s fair to say that it is here to say. Considering the fact that Apple has already launched its own service and many other services are going to be launched in the next few months, experts are now wondering whether the streaming space has become too crowded.

The success of Game of Thrones has ushered in an era of unprecedented spending for quality content. The show generated total profit to the tune of $2.2 billion for HBO, which is owned by AT&T. Hence, video streaming companies have also decided to spend jaw-dropping sums on original content. Apple has earmarked $6 billion for original content, while Disney is expected to match that.

streaming cord cutting entertainment stocks

Both companies are trying to create that one show that could turn into a cash cow. On the other hand, Apple is going to price is monthly subscription at $4.99 and Disney is going to charge $6.99 for the same. In such a situation, one can expect Netflix to change tack since its cheapest subscription is worth $12.99.

So, the crowding is quite apparent as mega corporations enter the streaming space. However, the question remains whether the business is going to grow and new subscribers are going to flock in. Studies suggest that it will grow and up until 2024, the streaming market should grow by 18.8% each year. In 2024, the market is going to be worth $687 billion. Hence, it is quite clear that despite the intense competition that is going to come to the streaming space, there is still room for companies to grow and become profitable.

apple tv cord cutting AAPL stock

Disclaimer: Pursuant to an agreement between Midam Ventures LLC and Fearless Films Inc. (FERL), Midam has been paid $94,980 by Fearless Films Inc. (FERL) for a period from October 1, 2019 to November 17, 2019. We may buy or sell additional shares of Fearless Films Inc. (FERL) in the open market at any time, including before, during or after the Website and Information, to provide public dissemination of favorable Information about Fearless Films Inc. (FERL). Click Here For Full Disclaimer.

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